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Tue Feb 26, 2008 2:29 pm

I was talking to my local vw part buddy today, had to pick up a new coil, (yes bosch) and he told me that his suppliers told him that effective 1/1/09that acvw parts were set to DOUBLE in price , that'l put the brakes on a few projects.

Tue Feb 26, 2008 2:34 pm

Yeah, ACVW parts and everything else you can buy here in the states...

I think them funny talking economists call it "inflation". :shock: :shock: :shock:

Tue Feb 26, 2008 6:31 pm

it is all based around the black stuff that comes out of the ground.

Tue Feb 26, 2008 6:31 pm

gt1953 wrote: it is all based around the black stuff that comes out of the ground.
Roofing tar?

Tue Feb 26, 2008 7:31 pm

69coppersunset wrote: I was talking to my local vw part buddy today, had to pick up a new coil, (yes bosch) and he told me that his suppliers told him that effective 1/1/09that acvw parts were set to DOUBLE in price , that'l put the brakes on a few projects.
Great! If I can't my project done, maybe I can sell the parts.

Tue Feb 26, 2008 7:47 pm

Bugs'n'Pugs wrote: 69coppersunset wrote: I was talking to my local vw part buddy today, had to pick up a new coil, (yes bosch) and he told me that his suppliers told him that effective 1/1/09that acvw parts were set to DOUBLE in price , that'l put the brakes on a few projects.
Great! If I can't my project done, maybe I can sell the parts.

That was a good one!

I can't imagine with all the sources & makers of parts that everything is going to go up 100%. I could maybe see if it was a single part with some significant component this would substantiate an increase, but all?

Sounds like a fire sale to me, cause panic and they will come. :wink:

Wed Feb 27, 2008 9:15 am

Its likely related to exchange rates. The value of the Euro has increased significantly in the last year or so relative to the dollar. Many other currencies have as well. Companies in countries that comprise the "Euro zone" such as Germany have been trying to hold the line on price increases. However at some point they need to pass along the price increases.

Of course this makes anything sourced in the US relatively less expensive but it doesn't help if the part is not produced here.

Wed Feb 27, 2008 8:15 pm

I would think that the Chrome Stock replica wheels might double in price. Vendors are running out of them and some say that they will never be made again. I think the plant in Brazil is shutting down.

Thu Feb 28, 2008 12:56 am

as the dollar continues to decline the cost of imported goods will rise. having said that speculating how much prices will rise or fall 10 months from now is about as accurate as predicting the weather 10 months from now. prices fluctuate daily.

Thu Feb 28, 2008 7:24 am

gooser wrote: ...speculating how much prices will rise or fall 10 months from now is about as accurate as predicting the weather 10 months from now.

True, but I'm seeing storm clouds. As we slip further into a recession, the volume of our 'Hobby' related purchases will drop. People are going to start tightening their belts and (finally/maybe) live within their means. The dollar will continue to tank against other world currencies as the Fed continues to lower rates to protect the boys on Wall Street. Lowered purchasing power and demand certainly wont bode well for VW prices in the near future. 100% increase? - I doubt it, but I anticipate alot of updated price sheet inserts in future VW catalogs.

Thu Feb 28, 2008 8:39 am

68Bug-lite wrote:

Quote: The dollar will continue to tank against other world currencies

It happened yesterday:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,296559,00.html

Thu Feb 28, 2008 8:44 am

Pretty good analysis, 68buglite. Only thing I would add is that the need to support the stock market doesn't just favor the wall street crowd - there are a whole bunch of old geezer baby boomers like me with half or more of their 401k savings tied the that hysterical financial center. Looking to get out of the rat-race soon, with our hard earned savings mostly intact.
Short story to tie this financial talk to beetles. Bought an old beetle in the 1980s for $175. Fixed it up and drove it 20 years comuting to work. Saved a lot of money not trading cars all the time, and put it in my 401k. Sure, I replaced an engine now and then - did brakes, etc - but parts are pretty reasonable, and beetles are easy and fun to work on. My retirement will be far better for having driven beetles!!

Thu Feb 28, 2008 8:45 am

NOVA Airhead wrote:
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,296559,00.html

Foxnews? Yikes, can we at least quote a real news site?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a8kQgmoVmrbQ&refer=home

Thu Feb 28, 2008 9:29 am

Being from Virginia, its not popular to reference anything with the word "Bloomberg"!

In typical NYC egotistical form, the SOB thinks he can apply NY law in VA!

Thu Feb 28, 2008 9:49 am

The terrorists are winning! The Arabs are on track to replace the U.S. dollar with the Euro for oil purchases. This means the U.S. dollar will no longer be accepted as the worlds standard.

The dollar is so far down in value that it may never recover. The result is we are going to be paying more for everything. This goes way beyond inflation.

Most of our manufacturing jobs have moved over seas, and as a result, our dollars are going over seas to pay for the goods we used to make here. This means less money staying in the country.

The next few years are going to be rough!

Thu Feb 28, 2008 9:50 am

drscope wrote: The terrorists are winning! The Arabs are on track to replace the U.S. dollar with the Euro for oil purchases. This means the U.S. dollar will no longer be accepted as the worlds standard.

The dollar is so far down in value that it may never recover. The result is we are going to be paying more for everything. This goes way beyond inflation.

Most of our manufacturing jobs have moved over seas, and as a result, our dollars are going over seas to pay for the goods we used to make here. This means less money staying in the country.

The next few years are going to be rough! :roll:

Thu Feb 28, 2008 9:56 am

drscope wrote:

Quote: The terrorists are winning! The Arabs are on track to replace the U.S. dollar with the Euro for oil purchases. This means the U.S. dollar will no longer be accepted as the worlds standard.

The dollar is so far down in value that it may never recover. The result is we are going to be paying more for everything. This goes way beyond inflation.

Most of our manufacturing jobs have moved over seas, and as a result, our dollars are going over seas to pay for the goods we used to make here. This means less money staying in the country.

The next few years are going to be rough!

You must be right since a guy with a middle name of "Hussein" will likely be the democratic nominee for President.

I hope you are kidding.

As long as someone keeps accepting dollars for payment, they have to do something with them. If you are in the middle east, what are you going to do with the dollars you receive for oil? It isn't like you can eat them. You will buy something with that money.

When people stop accepting dollars for payment, that is when real problems can start.

What you are seeing is markets going through an adjustment. The US (government and individuals) have been living beyond its means for decades. Cheap money from abroad funded this. The adjustment will not be without pain.

Thu Feb 28, 2008 9:59 am

our Mexican longblocks went from $1700 to $2200 overnight. A lot of parts are finally getting very dramatic price increases.

John
Aircooled.Net Inc.

Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:33 pm

69coppersunset wrote: I was talking to my local vw part buddy today, had to pick up a new coil, (yes bosch) and he told me that his suppliers told him that effective 1/1/09that acvw parts were set to DOUBLE in price , that'l put the brakes on a few projects.

Do you have any facts to back up and substantiate your claim?

Fri Feb 29, 2008 7:16 am

Lets not get so wrapped up in the US dollar that we loose sight of the great country we have with all the opportunities. As our dollar decreases in value our products become a better value overseas. If you think about it, its time we bring production back to the United States. United States has always been one of the worlds leaders in innovation partly due to free enterprise. This is a perfect breading ground for the next new idea to create a small business, or change how the world lives tomorrow. Today, the U.S. is one country in an international economy. How many years have we been hearing about the high cost of gas overseas? Now that those prices have reached us we still continue to guzzle the gas, further causing the very shortage that drives so many other prices up. Perhaps the time is now that we are ready to give up our three dollar cup of coffee, drive a more fuel efficient vehicle, and be proud of where we live.
Thinking back over the last thirty years, the U.S. has enjoyed several national economic revolutions, with computers, the stock market, and finally housing. Considering how well we have done we either have to accept a cooling off period or recreate what we do so well. Competition is good, and the health service business I am involved with is doing great, thank you very much. Fifteen years ago my industry was just getting started. Sure prices are up, I just need to work a little smarter. Life is what we make of it. Remember it's our opportunity.