Has anyone collected price history or seasonal trends data?

[crofty]

[otherbeach]

Showing USA splits price trend by Model. I understand this is hard to read, but there is a legend.

[otherbeach]

[EverettB]

[RockStock]

EB, I think you may be mistaking Specials for Kombis?
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-StockRocks-

[otherbeach]

[easy e]

[EverettB]

[otherbeach]

[otherbeach]

OG Paint? Patina?
Where reported in the description of these 29000 sold Split adverts, I flagged those adverts that used the term "patina" or "OG" (and case variations of these). The results are below. I did a further analysis and got these T-test results showing that this term only mattered (possibly) on Panels.

OG or Patina=Y in this table.

Underlying statistics.

[easy e]

OG is too broad (patina probably is too).

OG radio
OG hubcaps
OG fart smell
_________________
aka: Evan
Spreadsheet for Bus RPM, based on gearing & tire size (Excel format)
Searchable, click-navigable 1958 Bus Parts List

[EverettB]

[easy e]

Ah, title specific would make a big difference.
_________________
aka: Evan
Spreadsheet for Bus RPM, based on gearing & tire size (Excel format)
Searchable, click-navigable 1958 Bus Parts List

[otherbeach]

[otherbeach]

For historic and comparison purposes, note the classified adverts from "Hot VWs" magazine (provided under "Fair Use" of Copyright Law).

Here is a 1993 advert from "Hot VWs" for a Camper.

For Campers
Mean price in 2003 was $3830 in TheSamba sold adverts.
Mean price in 2013 was $14647 in TheSamba sold adverts.
Mean price in 2018 was $17984 in TheSamba sold adverts.
As I have stated in earlier posts, Campers in particular have held up well even after the recent price softness. You can see other information in this thread regarding Westys vs. non-Westys.


Here is a 1993 advert from "Hot VWs" for a 23-Window

Mean price in 2004 was $21609 in TheSamba sold adverts.
Mean price in 2013 was $41112 in TheSamba sold adverts.
Mean price in 2018 was $81680 in TheSamba sold adverts.

Here is a 1993 advert from "Hot VWs" for a Barn Door Kombi

Unfortunately in the history of TheSamba, where I can identify model as "Kombi" and Model Year as 1950-1954, there are only 27 ever sold (of some 29000 buses sold since data started in year 2003). These have an average sale price over all these years of $39215.
Here they are:

[otherbeach]

Split buses vs. Beetles.
Collected thanks to EB over 56,000 (wow) TheSamba sold adverts of Beetles.
Compared price trend to that of Splits in same period.

I do have model breakdowns, but the graph is too messy.

Still analyzing comparison to BAYS, dont have data processed yet.
The question is: did air-cooled fans go to Beetles (or Bays) when Splits prices went up? That is what this particular analysis is about.

[Braukuche]

[otherbeach]

Beetles and Bays now...
Compared price trend to that of Splits in same period.

I do have model breakdowns, but the graph is too messy.
56016 Beetles
29420 Splits
35639 Bays
Over 100,000 TheSamba SOLD records with personally identifiable info not captured

Interesting that Bays are holding the upward trend.

The question is: did air-cooled fans go to Beetles (or Bays) when Splits prices went up? That is what this particular analysis is about. Looks like...Yes?


I dont have Porsche or other model data at this time.

[EverettB]

My opinion:
I would definitely say the rising price of Split Buses has caused Bay Windows to rise as well.
More affordable and greater availability in many instances.
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[Braukuche]